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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+3.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.13+3.27vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.05+2.84vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+0.67vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62-1.59vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.34-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-0.64+0.50vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-4.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-6.08vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-5.85vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.48-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Boston College1.5814.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Pennsylvania1.4510.4%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University0.938.8%1st Place
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4.47Brown University1.6917.3%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida1.447.4%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont-0.132.6%1st Place
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9.84Boston University-0.053.5%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University0.544.0%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University0.626.0%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College0.343.8%1st Place
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11.5University of Michigan-0.641.2%1st Place
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7.27Old Dominion University0.687.3%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.817.8%1st Place
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8.15Salve Regina University0.975.4%1st Place
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14.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.480.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 17.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 1.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 3.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 33.0% | 9.7% |
| Megan Geith | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Celia Houston | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.