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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+2.26vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.62+2.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93-0.54vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.34+1.09vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13-0.72vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.68-3.86vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.05-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.64-1.66vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-5.35vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.48-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Boston College1.5814.9%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania1.4510.5%1st Place
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4.49Brown University1.6915.6%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida1.449.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University0.626.5%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.817.1%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University0.938.2%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College0.343.6%1st Place
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8.15Salve Regina University0.975.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont-0.133.5%1st Place
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7.14Old Dominion University0.686.7%1st Place
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9.79Boston University-0.052.8%1st Place
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11.34University of Michigan-0.641.8%1st Place
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8.65Fordham University0.544.5%1st Place
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14.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.480.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Celia Houston | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
| Megan Geith | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 32.4% | 9.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.