← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.64+5.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.27+6.37vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.21+5.60vs Predicted
-
4University of Connecticut1.93+9.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.05+4.06vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.69+4.84vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.74-0.38vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.73-1.45vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.49-1.21vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.49+1.35vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.70-4.09vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.64vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.48vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.45-2.34vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University3.26-6.56vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College3.52-9.50vs Predicted
-
18University of New Hampshire1.52-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.87Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.37University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.6Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
13.2University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
-
9.06University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.84Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
-
6.62Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.55Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.79Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.35Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.91Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
-
5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.66Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.44Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
7.5Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
14.35University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Booker | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ben Lamont | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 7.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Will Humphrey | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.