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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+9.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+6.25vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+1.65vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+1.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.57vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21-0.17vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-3.66vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-3.42vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-0.69vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.49-3.46vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-4.56vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.74-10.35vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.52-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.36Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.54Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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11.44Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.65Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.39University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Michael Booker | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 23.8% |
| Ben Lamont | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Humphrey | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.