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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.45+4.86vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.58+2.61vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.34+6.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+1.19vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.62+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13+2.44vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-3.53vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.54-0.34vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68-2.79vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97-2.84vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.05-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.64-1.66vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-7.76vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.48-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86University of Pennsylvania1.4511.4%1st Place
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4.61Boston College1.5816.2%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College0.342.8%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.816.5%1st Place
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6.19University of South Florida1.449.8%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University0.625.6%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont-0.132.8%1st Place
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4.47Brown University1.6915.4%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University0.543.4%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University0.686.3%1st Place
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8.16Salve Regina University0.974.7%1st Place
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9.82Boston University-0.053.5%1st Place
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11.34University of Michigan-0.641.5%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University0.939.8%1st Place
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14.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.480.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Rice | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 1.7% |
| Celia Houston | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 2.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Megan Geith | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 30.6% | 9.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.