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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.34+8.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+5.15vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+5.30vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+2.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+1.49vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.58-1.26vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68+0.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-3.43vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.62-1.60vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.48+4.32vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.54-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.45-6.11vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.05-3.04vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.64-2.44vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Connecticut College0.343.8%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.815.9%1st Place
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8.3Salve Regina University0.974.8%1st Place
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6.23University of South Florida1.449.3%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University0.938.6%1st Place
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4.74Boston College1.5815.9%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University0.686.5%1st Place
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4.57Brown University1.6915.8%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University0.624.6%1st Place
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14.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.480.2%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University0.544.7%1st Place
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5.89University of Pennsylvania1.4510.2%1st Place
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9.96Boston University-0.053.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Michigan-0.641.6%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont0.485.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Celia Houston | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 79.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 1.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 3.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 31.1% | 10.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.