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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+8.09vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+4.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+5.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.67vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+2.33vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+2.30vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49-0.53vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.69+1.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-3.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-3.35vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.52+1.28vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.27-5.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.49vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-4.56vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.93-3.69vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.49-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.83Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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14.28University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.44Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.45Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Scott Houck | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Domenic Bove | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Will Humphrey | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 42.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 23.0% |
| Ben Lamont | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.