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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.34+8.01vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+3.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+1.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+1.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.05+3.86vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58-2.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.64+2.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-2.88vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.68-3.72vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54-3.19vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-4.52vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-5.79vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.48-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Connecticut College0.343.5%1st Place
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5.97University of Pennsylvania1.4510.6%1st Place
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4.5Brown University1.6916.3%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University0.938.9%1st Place
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6.3University of South Florida1.448.6%1st Place
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9.86Boston University-0.052.8%1st Place
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4.91Boston College1.5814.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University0.626.7%1st Place
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11.44University of Michigan-0.641.5%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.816.5%1st Place
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7.28Old Dominion University0.687.4%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University0.544.2%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont0.484.2%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University0.974.7%1st Place
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14.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 3.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 32.6% | 10.4% |
| Celia Houston | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.