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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.44+5.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+5.08vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.85vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.62+3.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69-0.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+0.53vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58-2.35vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+0.35vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.54-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48-1.77vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.05-1.09vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.34-2.75vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-5.73vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.64-2.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.48-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32University of South Florida1.449.0%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.817.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Pennsylvania1.4510.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University0.626.7%1st Place
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4.51Brown University1.6915.8%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University0.938.1%1st Place
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4.65Boston College1.5815.3%1st Place
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8.35Salve Regina University0.975.0%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University0.543.5%1st Place
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8.23University of Vermont0.484.7%1st Place
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9.91Boston University-0.053.0%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College0.342.9%1st Place
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7.27Old Dominion University0.686.6%1st Place
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11.37University of Michigan-0.642.1%1st Place
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14.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.480.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Celia Houston | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 2.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Megan Geith | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 31.8% | 9.6% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 7.9% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.