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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+7.41vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+5.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+4.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49+7.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+1.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.37vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05+1.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-2.16vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69+0.54vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.16vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-3.57vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-6.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-4.42vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.93-1.87vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-5.41vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.52-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.43Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.83Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.49Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.84Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.59Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.34University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Lamont | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 24.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% |
| Will Humphrey | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 17.6% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.