Race 8B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Madeleine Rice 8.6% 10.6% 9.6% 8.8% 9.3% 9.6% 9.4% 8.1% 7.9% 6.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 22.4% 18.1% 13.4% 12.2% 9.7% 8.8% 5.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 5.8% 7.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 10.5% 10.7% 8.9% 1.8%
Megan Geith 5.9% 7.0% 6.8% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.6% 8.9% 7.5% 5.8% 3.1% 0.7%
Libby Redmond 13.8% 13.4% 13.1% 12.8% 9.7% 8.6% 9.0% 6.8% 5.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 9.8% 8.0% 8.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 8.8% 6.2% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Haley Andreasen 8.3% 8.6% 9.0% 8.2% 9.6% 8.2% 8.8% 7.3% 8.3% 6.7% 6.6% 5.4% 2.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Madeline Stull 2.5% 3.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 6.2% 5.5% 7.2% 9.2% 12.2% 15.2% 15.4% 3.5%
Caylin Schnoor 6.1% 5.1% 6.3% 7.6% 8.3% 7.3% 8.3% 7.8% 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 6.9% 6.7% 3.6% 0.7%
Audrey Commerford 4.0% 4.6% 6.2% 5.2% 4.7% 5.5% 7.0% 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.9% 9.8% 7.0% 0.8%
Hailey Pemberton 3.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 8.9% 10.5% 11.3% 10.2% 2.4%
Olivia Lowthian 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 4.2% 5.7% 8.2% 7.0% 8.4% 8.9% 9.0% 10.0% 7.0% 8.8% 6.7% 1.0%
Julia Conneely 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 8.5% 9.1% 7.1% 8.4% 8.6% 8.3% 8.9% 7.0% 6.4% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Katherine Simcoe 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.7% 7.3% 9.3% 13.8% 30.7% 10.4%
Yitian Zhu 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 4.3% 8.3% 78.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.