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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+8.09vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+7.25vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+4.40vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+3.60vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+6.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+4.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.63vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21+0.47vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.93+3.21vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-4.06vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-5.00vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.49-1.47vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.73-7.22vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.27-6.63vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.52-1.59vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.74-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.84Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.53Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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14.41University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| John Silvestri | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 22.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ben Lamont | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 8.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Booker | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 42.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.