Race 9B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 23.4% 19.1% 15.2% 12.4% 11.2% 6.7% 5.2% 4.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Megan Geith 6.5% 8.0% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 7.4% 9.2% 9.8% 9.4% 9.4% 10.2% 5.6% 0.6%
Olivia Lowthian 4.7% 4.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 9.6% 8.7% 10.5% 12.2% 11.5% 10.9% 1.5%
Libby Redmond 15.2% 14.5% 14.6% 12.8% 10.2% 11.0% 7.4% 5.6% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Julia Conneely 7.8% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 8.5% 9.6% 8.8% 10.4% 9.3% 8.8% 7.4% 5.0% 1.0%
Madeleine Rice 10.3% 10.5% 10.2% 11.4% 9.3% 9.9% 9.9% 9.4% 6.7% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Hailey Pemberton 3.0% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 10.8% 11.2% 13.7% 18.1% 2.5%
Caroline Sandoval 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 5.1% 6.7% 7.1% 7.4% 8.7% 10.1% 11.7% 14.2% 13.7% 2.2%
Sydney Monahan 8.6% 9.4% 9.8% 9.2% 10.7% 10.5% 9.9% 8.6% 7.7% 6.8% 5.2% 3.1% 0.4%
Haley Andreasen 8.5% 8.6% 8.9% 8.2% 9.3% 10.3% 10.9% 9.7% 9.7% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5% 0.3%
Caylin Schnoor 5.1% 6.3% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 8.4% 9.8% 10.7% 9.7% 10.5% 7.6% 0.7%
Madeline Stull 2.9% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 6.7% 8.3% 12.0% 14.4% 25.1% 4.0%
Yitian Zhu 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 5.0% 86.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.