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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+1.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+1.50vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+1.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.75-2.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.17-2.19vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.67-2.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.19vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.02-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.3%1st Place
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3.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.2%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University2.750.3%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.44Northeastern University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Drapcho | 26.3% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 15.2% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 26.0% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 12.2% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 42.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.