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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+5.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.75vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.97+5.24vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+9.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.52+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+1.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56+1.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.77+0.24vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.34-0.44vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-3.32vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.57-6.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-4.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.13-7.24vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-4.01vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.84-8.22vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.51-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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13.85University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.59Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.56Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.78Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.48Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Price | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 34.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Richard Bergsund | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 13.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.