Race 10B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 22.5% 18.6% 16.3% 13.6% 10.0% 6.7% 4.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 10.8% 9.8% 10.2% 8.6% 10.9% 10.3% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 7.3% 4.4% 2.1% 0.2%
Libby Redmond 14.2% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 11.8% 10.4% 7.6% 6.2% 5.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Caylin Schnoor 6.5% 7.8% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 7.9% 9.9% 9.2% 10.5% 9.7% 9.0% 7.0% 0.9%
Julia Conneely 6.9% 7.6% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 10.1% 9.2% 9.4% 7.0% 4.3% 0.6%
Sydney Monahan 8.7% 9.7% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 11.3% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 7.0% 5.5% 4.0% 0.2%
Megan Geith 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.8% 7.2% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 9.2% 9.1% 10.9% 6.7% 0.4%
Hailey Pemberton 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 6.0% 6.9% 6.7% 8.3% 9.2% 11.6% 14.0% 17.9% 2.8%
Caroline Sandoval 4.2% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 8.2% 9.3% 11.6% 13.2% 14.8% 1.7%
Haley Andreasen 8.1% 8.8% 8.7% 9.0% 10.3% 9.7% 10.8% 8.9% 8.7% 7.8% 5.8% 3.2% 0.2%
Madeline Stull 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 5.2% 7.0% 7.7% 8.1% 9.8% 15.4% 23.6% 4.8%
Olivia Lowthian 4.7% 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 6.2% 7.0% 8.8% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6% 11.1% 10.3% 1.4%
Yitian Zhu 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 5.3% 86.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.