Race 11B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Libby Redmond 15.7% 14.3% 13.0% 12.1% 11.2% 9.6% 8.3% 6.7% 4.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 22.6% 19.9% 15.0% 13.6% 10.7% 6.6% 4.9% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Hailey Pemberton 3.7% 3.0% 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 6.7% 7.9% 7.6% 10.7% 10.8% 15.8% 16.2% 1.7%
Caroline Sandoval 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 6.4% 5.9% 7.5% 8.7% 9.5% 12.3% 14.8% 15.3% 1.8%
Madeleine Rice 10.1% 11.1% 11.2% 10.1% 10.5% 9.1% 8.7% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Sydney Monahan 9.2% 8.5% 11.0% 9.4% 8.6% 10.6% 9.2% 10.3% 7.6% 7.0% 5.2% 3.3% 0.1%
Megan Geith 6.2% 7.4% 7.3% 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 9.2% 9.6% 9.5% 5.5% 0.9%
Caylin Schnoor 5.1% 8.2% 6.5% 8.2% 8.5% 9.5% 9.9% 8.8% 10.2% 9.2% 8.6% 6.9% 0.6%
Julia Conneely 8.0% 6.5% 8.0% 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 8.9% 10.0% 9.4% 8.6% 7.2% 5.2% 0.7%
Haley Andreasen 7.9% 8.3% 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 8.8% 9.5% 8.2% 5.7% 2.9% 0.3%
Olivia Lowthian 5.5% 5.9% 5.2% 6.2% 6.8% 8.2% 8.4% 9.2% 9.4% 11.5% 10.2% 12.2% 1.3%
Madeline Stull 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 3.7% 4.1% 5.3% 5.5% 7.5% 9.0% 10.5% 15.2% 25.6% 4.5%
Yitian Zhu 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 2.3% 4.9% 87.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.