Race 12B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Sandoval 4.1% 3.8% 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 8.1% 7.1% 7.9% 10.2% 10.8% 13.1% 15.7% 2.8%
Madeleine Rice 9.7% 10.2% 10.7% 12.2% 10.0% 10.8% 9.6% 8.3% 7.9% 5.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 21.9% 17.9% 18.9% 13.1% 8.8% 6.8% 4.9% 3.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Libby Redmond 15.6% 15.2% 13.7% 11.2% 11.3% 9.6% 7.8% 6.2% 4.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Julia Conneely 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 7.8% 10.0% 9.2% 10.8% 10.0% 7.6% 5.1% 0.5%
Megan Geith 7.1% 7.0% 6.5% 8.2% 7.8% 8.3% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 6.0% 0.7%
Sydney Monahan 7.6% 10.3% 8.6% 9.3% 10.0% 11.2% 8.6% 10.1% 9.2% 6.2% 6.1% 2.4% 0.4%
Hailey Pemberton 4.0% 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 8.1% 7.6% 9.2% 9.4% 14.8% 17.3% 3.0%
Madeline Stull 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 4.1% 5.0% 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.1% 11.2% 14.1% 25.6% 5.1%
Caylin Schnoor 6.5% 7.0% 6.0% 7.5% 8.0% 7.8% 9.6% 9.8% 11.0% 10.4% 9.2% 6.3% 0.9%
Olivia Lowthian 5.3% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 7.0% 6.5% 8.8% 10.4% 9.3% 11.7% 11.6% 10.5% 1.2%
Haley Andreasen 8.8% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 10.7% 9.6% 9.8% 9.0% 8.6% 8.7% 5.6% 2.8% 0.4%
Yitian Zhu 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 3.2% 5.9% 84.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.