Race 13B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Megan Geith 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 7.8% 8.3% 10.0% 9.6% 10.8% 8.5% 9.8% 9.3% 5.5% 0.8%
Caylin Schnoor 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 7.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.5% 9.3% 10.9% 9.2% 8.9% 7.6% 0.9%
Hailey Pemberton 3.5% 4.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 6.1% 8.4% 6.9% 10.0% 11.4% 14.3% 17.9% 3.4%
Haley Andreasen 8.5% 8.4% 9.4% 9.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.4% 10.7% 8.3% 7.1% 5.8% 3.6% 0.1%
Madeleine Rice 11.2% 10.7% 11.2% 10.4% 10.3% 8.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.2% 5.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Sydney Monahan 8.6% 10.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 9.0% 9.2% 6.7% 4.8% 2.9% 0.1%
Katharine Doble 21.9% 17.3% 16.3% 12.8% 10.5% 8.0% 5.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline Stull 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 6.8% 8.1% 11.2% 14.0% 24.1% 5.8%
Caroline Sandoval 4.0% 5.4% 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 7.8% 8.0% 9.5% 11.2% 14.1% 15.4% 2.1%
Libby Redmond 15.2% 14.5% 14.7% 11.3% 11.5% 9.2% 7.5% 6.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Julia Conneely 7.7% 8.2% 7.6% 9.7% 9.3% 9.6% 7.8% 8.6% 9.9% 9.2% 8.0% 4.2% 0.2%
Olivia Lowthian 4.0% 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 10.0% 9.8% 12.8% 11.7% 10.4% 1.2%
Yitian Zhu 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 2.9% 5.8% 85.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.