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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.90vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+3.43vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+4.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.87vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+1.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.52-1.82vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.51+4.18vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.57-3.87vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90-2.65vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.77-2.81vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.96-0.98vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-4.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-1.02vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.34-5.36vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.56-7.08vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.13-10.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.95Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.18Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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13.98University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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10.64Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.92Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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7.73Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Price | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 28.4% |
| Max Nickbarg | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 13.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| William Dykes | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 36.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.