Race 14B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Madeleine Rice 11.3% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 10.5% 10.2% 9.1% 9.5% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Hailey Pemberton 3.0% 4.3% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 5.8% 6.8% 8.0% 10.1% 11.5% 14.8% 17.9% 3.2%
Caroline Sandoval 4.2% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 5.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 10.1% 9.8% 13.6% 14.8% 2.5%
Katharine Doble 21.5% 19.7% 15.3% 12.4% 10.2% 7.5% 5.4% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 6.3% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 10.2% 11.7% 12.0% 11.2% 1.4%
Madeline Stull 3.2% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 4.5% 6.3% 9.3% 11.6% 14.9% 24.0% 5.2%
Libby Redmond 13.9% 15.3% 13.2% 11.8% 11.7% 9.2% 8.0% 7.5% 4.2% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Sydney Monahan 8.9% 9.3% 10.2% 10.2% 9.0% 10.7% 10.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.7% 4.6% 3.3% 0.2%
Caylin Schnoor 6.2% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 10.8% 9.2% 6.3% 0.9%
Julia Conneely 7.5% 7.8% 8.0% 8.9% 8.3% 9.4% 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 9.2% 8.3% 4.5% 0.6%
Megan Geith 6.7% 5.2% 7.4% 8.7% 9.4% 8.2% 11.3% 9.4% 10.0% 9.6% 7.2% 5.9% 0.8%
Haley Andreasen 8.6% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 10.7% 9.8% 8.9% 7.3% 5.9% 3.5% 0.2%
Yitian Zhu 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 3.0% 5.3% 84.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.