Race 1A

nelson-roltsch-scrimmage

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andreas Keswater 7.5% 6.2% 7.9% 8.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.9% 12.0% 13.6% 10.8% 5.0%
Jack Solmo 10.9% 11.9% 12.4% 11.3% 12.4% 10.4% 10.0% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Zander King 17.4% 16.8% 15.2% 13.5% 10.2% 8.8% 8.0% 5.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Ella DesChamps 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 8.5% 17.0% 51.6%
Humberto Porrata 7.5% 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 11.3% 11.3% 10.5% 7.5% 3.4%
Matthew King 12.2% 12.2% 11.8% 10.6% 12.0% 9.9% 10.1% 8.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.8%
Emily Allen 9.3% 11.2% 8.6% 10.2% 10.1% 11.2% 11.1% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 2.5%
Gordon Gurnell 16.2% 12.8% 12.9% 13.6% 11.6% 11.5% 8.4% 7.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.6%
Kaitlyn Liebel 3.0% 3.9% 4.3% 5.5% 4.9% 7.3% 5.8% 10.0% 14.1% 20.8% 20.3%
Jordan Byrd 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 6.0% 8.5% 9.9% 9.4% 11.8% 12.6% 14.1% 7.8%
Brent Penwarden 8.1% 7.6% 7.7% 8.5% 10.0% 8.4% 10.9% 11.1% 11.5% 10.5% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.