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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.90+5.27vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.06+2.07vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.39+1.40vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.13+5.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02+1.82vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.66-1.09vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-1.58vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.20-1.69vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.48-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.19-4.22vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.55-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27University of South Florida0.907.1%1st Place
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4.07Tulane University2.0618.6%1st Place
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4.4Jacksonville University1.3914.6%1st Place
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9.28Jacksonville University-0.132.3%1st Place
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6.82University of South Florida1.025.7%1st Place
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4.91Tulane University1.6611.3%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University-1.389.8%1st Place
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6.31Jacksonville University1.206.9%1st Place
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7.84Jacksonville University0.483.9%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.197.6%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University1.5512.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Zander King | 18.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ella DesChamps | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 17.4% | 50.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
| Jack Solmo | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Brent Penwarden | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 20.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Matthew King | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.