← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.97+7.03vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.77+6.86vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.52+2.18vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.41+1.58vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.57-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.34+3.87vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.90+0.47vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania3.51-2.93vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.84-1.06vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.02-3.11vs Predicted
-
12Boston University3.13-4.27vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire1.35+0.88vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.56-4.07vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-5.69vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-7.19vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut1.96-4.94vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.51-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.03Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.86Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.18Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
5.87Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
10.87Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.47Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.94Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
7.73Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
13.88University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
9.93Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
-
9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
-
8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
12.06University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
13.51Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| William Dykes | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 17.9% | 35.9% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 12.6% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 19.1% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.