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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+5.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+6.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+2.48vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.34+3.96vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51-2.79vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.51+3.68vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35+2.97vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-5.78vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.77-3.92vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96-1.77vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-5.58vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.84-7.16vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.03-8.87vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-11.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.96Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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13.68Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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13.97University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.22Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 30.8% |
| William Dykes | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 33.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 13.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| James Barry | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.