Race 4A

nelson-roltsch-scrimmage

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zander King 17.2% 16.4% 15.1% 14.3% 11.3% 8.7% 6.6% 5.0% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Gordon Gurnell 15.8% 13.9% 12.2% 12.7% 11.2% 10.0% 9.7% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8%
Emily Allen 9.2% 10.5% 11.3% 10.9% 10.7% 9.7% 9.6% 10.0% 8.7% 6.9% 2.6%
Brent Penwarden 8.0% 6.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 11.3% 11.9% 11.0% 13.3% 6.1%
Jack Solmo 11.4% 12.0% 12.7% 10.9% 10.5% 10.3% 10.8% 8.9% 6.3% 4.8% 1.3%
Matthew King 11.6% 10.7% 10.7% 12.3% 10.8% 11.9% 10.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.5% 1.1%
Kaitlyn Liebel 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 4.3% 6.3% 7.0% 7.1% 9.7% 13.3% 20.4% 19.1%
Humberto Porrata 8.2% 9.5% 8.4% 8.7% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6% 10.4% 10.6% 7.3% 3.7%
Jordan Byrd 6.8% 5.7% 7.0% 6.7% 8.6% 9.2% 9.0% 9.8% 14.2% 14.4% 8.5%
Andreas Keswater 5.9% 7.9% 7.8% 8.9% 9.3% 10.1% 9.8% 13.1% 12.2% 9.7% 5.2%
Ella DesChamps 2.5% 2.6% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 8.6% 14.2% 51.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.