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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.06+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.90+4.31vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.66+1.93vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.79vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-0.42vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48+0.86vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.39-3.57vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.20-2.85vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.02-3.31vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.13-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Tulane University2.0617.1%1st Place
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6.31University of South Florida0.907.0%1st Place
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4.93Tulane University1.6612.2%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University1.5511.6%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida1.198.1%1st Place
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5.58Jacksonville University-1.3810.0%1st Place
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7.86Jacksonville University0.484.1%1st Place
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4.43Jacksonville University1.3914.5%1st Place
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6.15Jacksonville University1.207.6%1st Place
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6.69University of South Florida1.026.2%1st Place
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9.3Jacksonville University-0.131.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Jack Solmo | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Matthew King | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Emily Allen | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Brent Penwarden | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 8.4% |
| Ella DesChamps | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.