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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+7.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+5.11vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.57+2.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.97+3.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.34+4.98vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+1.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-2.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-3.85vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-3.07vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.96+0.12vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.95vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.35+0.04vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-1.51vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-8.25vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.03-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.98Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.87Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.15Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.04University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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13.49Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Price | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 12.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| William Dykes | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 36.9% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 28.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| James Barry | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.