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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+2.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+2.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.17+0.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-1.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.75-4.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.67-3.41vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.02-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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3.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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2.88Tufts University2.750.3%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.4Northeastern University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevis Nichols | 17.6% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 14.5% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 22.6% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 25.9% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.