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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University-0.48+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+0.46vs Predicted
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3Williams College-1.40+0.22vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-1.53-0.56vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.80-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Boston University-0.4836.3%1st Place
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2.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.9727.6%1st Place
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3.22Williams College-1.4014.0%1st Place
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3.44Wesleyan University-1.5312.2%1st Place
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3.69Middlebury College-1.809.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sage Andrews | 36.3% | 28.3% | 20.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 27.6% | 27.1% | 22.8% | 16.4% | 6.1% |
| Max Harthorne | 14.0% | 18.3% | 20.9% | 25.4% | 21.3% |
| Katie Estep | 12.2% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 25.4% | 29.0% |
| Aidan Ulian | 9.8% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 21.4% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.