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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+7.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+7.10vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.25vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+2.92vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57-0.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-0.30vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-3.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-5.18vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.96-0.88vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-6.17vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-1.37vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.34-5.20vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.03-8.81vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.35-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.63Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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13.97University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 13.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 30.3% |
| Richard Bergsund | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| James Barry | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| William Dykes | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 18.8% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.