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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.06+3.87vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.66+4.21vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+6.76vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54+2.84vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38+1.61vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.39-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.02+1.31vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55-2.04vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.90-1.18vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.20-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.19-3.94vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.90-2.94vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-0.13-1.27vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.34-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Tulane University2.0613.2%1st Place
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6.21Tulane University1.669.0%1st Place
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9.76Jacksonville University0.483.1%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida1.546.9%1st Place
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6.61Jacksonville University-1.388.9%1st Place
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5.53Jacksonville University1.3911.8%1st Place
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8.31University of South Florida1.025.2%1st Place
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5.96Jacksonville University1.5510.7%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida0.905.7%1st Place
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7.71Jacksonville University1.206.3%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida1.197.1%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College0.903.7%1st Place
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11.73Jacksonville University-0.131.2%1st Place
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7.52Eckerd College1.347.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 13.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Solmo | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Matthew King | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Brent Penwarden | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Ella DesChamps | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 48.0% |
| matthew Monts | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.