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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+7.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+7.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.57+3.08vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+4.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.34+5.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+2.33vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.82vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-0.90vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.52-4.80vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51+1.58vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.03-4.90vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.96-1.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.96vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-6.75vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-10.36vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.35-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.58Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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14.01University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Richard Bergsund | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 29.5% |
| James Barry | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| William Dykes | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 18.9% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.