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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+7.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.14vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+4.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.21vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+4.12vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+3.04vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.97+1.34vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90-0.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.34+0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-4.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.52-5.55vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.96-0.89vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.03-5.78vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.57-8.79vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-7.10vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.35-2.94vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.51-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.98Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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14.06University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Price | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Richard Bergsund | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
| James Barry | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| William Dykes | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 35.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.