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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+6.97vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+5.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.77+6.14vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.51+9.49vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+1.54vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52+0.41vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.34+3.78vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.83vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.03-0.69vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.97-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.96+1.18vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-5.87vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.57vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-5.01vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.07vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-8.33vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.35-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.49Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.31Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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14.02University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 29.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Richard Bergsund | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Price | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| William Dykes | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.