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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+5.01vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+5.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+2.81vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+2.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.11+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+2.48vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.29+3.80vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-3.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-2.57vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.74-1.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.24vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82+0.35vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.55-3.09vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.72-1.24vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47-5.85vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-7.58vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.76-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.8Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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4.4Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.43University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.35Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.91Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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9.42Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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15.11University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.8% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 11.8% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 14.4% |
| William Livernois | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.