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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.74+7.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+4.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+2.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.11+2.56vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-1.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.15+0.63vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+1.92vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.43-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-1.77vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-0.10vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.68-2.67vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-6.61vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.72-1.18vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.55-5.20vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.82-3.59vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.76-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.9Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.82University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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9.8Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.41Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.12University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Peabody | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Mullins | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Livernois | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 14.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 12.4% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.