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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.20+3.45vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+4.78vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.06+1.67vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-1.01+7.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.10+2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.68-1.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.49-2.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.82vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.78-5.81vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.09vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.10-0.80vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+0.06vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.09-2.69vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.50vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.67-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Salve Regina University0.4613.9%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island1.2012.2%1st Place
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7.78Salve Regina University0.974.7%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont1.0611.8%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University-1.011.8%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University0.9611.3%1st Place
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9.0University of New Hampshire0.105.5%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island0.688.1%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.7%1st Place
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7.82Brown University0.496.3%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.152.9%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University0.7810.2%1st Place
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10.91University of New Hampshire-0.382.4%1st Place
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13.2Bentley University-1.100.9%1st Place
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15.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.4%1st Place
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13.31University of New Hampshire-1.090.8%1st Place
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14.5University of New Hampshire-1.541.1%1st Place
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11.78Bates College-0.672.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Johnson | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 32.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 11.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 26.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.