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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.68+5.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.49+5.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.78+2.64vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+3.15vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.06+0.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-1.01+6.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.96-1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.20-3.48vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.10-0.45vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.38-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.09+1.98vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.00vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.28vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.10-0.93vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-5.08vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.67-4.38vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69-2.04vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire-1.54-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Salve Regina University0.4613.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island0.687.4%1st Place
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8.09Brown University0.495.6%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University0.788.2%1st Place
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8.15Salve Regina University0.976.2%1st Place
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6.04University of Vermont1.0610.6%1st Place
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13.74Salve Regina University-1.011.6%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University0.9611.9%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island1.2011.7%1st Place
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9.55University of New Hampshire0.103.9%1st Place
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8.56McGill University0.385.3%1st Place
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13.98University of New Hampshire-1.091.0%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.5%1st Place
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11.72University of New Hampshire-0.381.9%1st Place
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14.07Bentley University-1.101.1%1st Place
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10.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.4%1st Place
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12.62Bates College-0.672.1%1st Place
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15.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.6%1st Place
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15.57University of New Hampshire-1.540.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hal Clews | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Sean Lund | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 31.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.