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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.74+7.87vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+4.49vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+3.15vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55+5.85vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65-0.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+2.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95-0.53vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51-3.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.15-3.29vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.11-4.26vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-0.21vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.82-1.46vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-4.32vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47-5.80vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.76-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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4.4Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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12.54Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.68Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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15.15University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Peabody | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 12.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| William Livernois | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.