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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.75+1.80vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+0.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.44vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.02+0.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.17-2.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-2.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.23vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.67-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Tufts University2.750.3%1st Place
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2.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
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3.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.2%1st Place
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5.62Northeastern University1.020.0%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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4.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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4.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 28.1% | 22.7% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 22.5% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 16.3% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 12.0% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.