← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.20+4.27vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.10+6.77vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.46+2.25vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University-1.01+9.01vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.96+0.72vs Predicted
-
6Brown University0.49+1.55vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.97+0.89vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.06-2.29vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.68-2.07vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.60vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.86vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-1.09+1.17vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.30vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+1.14vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-1.10-1.62vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.31vs Predicted
-
17Bates College-0.67-4.85vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University0.78-11.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.27University of Rhode Island1.2013.2%1st Place
-
8.77University of New Hampshire0.104.0%1st Place
-
5.25Salve Regina University0.4612.7%1st Place
-
13.01Salve Regina University-1.011.3%1st Place
-
5.72Tufts University0.9611.4%1st Place
-
7.55Brown University0.496.5%1st Place
-
7.89Salve Regina University0.975.7%1st Place
-
5.71University of Vermont1.0611.2%1st Place
-
6.93University of Rhode Island0.687.1%1st Place
-
9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.8%1st Place
-
10.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.9%1st Place
-
13.17University of New Hampshire-1.091.2%1st Place
-
10.7University of New Hampshire-0.382.7%1st Place
-
15.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.5%1st Place
-
13.38Bentley University-1.101.2%1st Place
-
14.69University of New Hampshire-1.540.9%1st Place
-
12.15Bates College-0.672.2%1st Place
-
6.13Tufts University0.7810.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% |
| Sean Lund | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 32.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 27.4% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.