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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.33vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+5.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+4.70vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+4.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+1.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.55+0.31vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.74+2.13vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82+4.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-2.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.62vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68-1.53vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-5.68vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47-2.74vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.72-1.20vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.55-5.21vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.29-5.15vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.76-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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12.1Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.85Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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15.13University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 19.6% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 12.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| William Livernois | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.