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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+5.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.96+3.84vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.68+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10+3.78vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+1.99vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.49+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.20-2.76vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.06-3.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.60vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-1.01+1.84vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.19vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-3.78vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.10-1.65vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.67-4.22vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69-2.11vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.54-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Tufts University0.789.2%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University0.9610.8%1st Place
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5.16Salve Regina University0.4613.8%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island0.688.7%1st Place
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8.78University of New Hampshire0.104.2%1st Place
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7.99Salve Regina University0.975.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University0.496.8%1st Place
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5.24University of Rhode Island1.2012.9%1st Place
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5.77University of Vermont1.0611.3%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.8%1st Place
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12.84Salve Regina University-1.011.6%1st Place
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10.81University of New Hampshire-0.382.4%1st Place
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13.41University of New Hampshire-1.091.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.5%1st Place
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13.35Bentley University-1.101.2%1st Place
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11.78Bates College-0.672.0%1st Place
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14.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.1%1st Place
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14.63University of New Hampshire-1.540.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 12.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 7.4% |
| Sean Lund | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 30.9% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.