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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.96+4.65vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+7.51vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.78+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.20+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.09+7.23vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.06-1.32vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97-0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.68-2.12vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.01+2.99vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-2.13vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.49-4.23vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.67-1.12vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.10-0.74vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69-0.02vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-5.68vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.38-6.15vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.54-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Tufts University0.9612.3%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.8%1st Place
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5.26Salve Regina University0.4613.0%1st Place
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6.18Tufts University0.789.6%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island1.2012.7%1st Place
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13.23University of New Hampshire-1.091.7%1st Place
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5.68University of Vermont1.0611.5%1st Place
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7.77Salve Regina University0.976.4%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island0.687.3%1st Place
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12.99Salve Regina University-1.011.1%1st Place
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8.87University of New Hampshire0.104.2%1st Place
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7.77Brown University0.496.3%1st Place
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11.88Bates College-0.671.6%1st Place
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13.26Bentley University-1.101.8%1st Place
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14.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.4%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.2%1st Place
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10.85University of New Hampshire-0.382.7%1st Place
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14.64University of New Hampshire-1.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 9.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Sam Harris | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 32.6% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Sean Lund | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.