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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+8.54vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+3.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+8.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65+0.72vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.15+1.68vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11+0.73vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95-0.48vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+0.06vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-0.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.55-2.23vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-0.27vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.74-4.73vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-9.68vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.76-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.31Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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10.86Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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15.12University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 18.4% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 11.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Mullins | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| William Livernois | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.