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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.55+5.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+1.19vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29+5.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11+0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15-0.51vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.43-2.25vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.55-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.72+1.87vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-3.60vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.71-0.05vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-4.46vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.51-4.93vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47-5.68vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.82-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.37Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.95University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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12.59Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.8% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Conor Fowler | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 23.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Justin Marks | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 22.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| William Livernois | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.