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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+5.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+7.30vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.96+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10+3.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+4.25vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-1.01+5.73vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.68-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.20-3.69vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.49-2.29vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.06-6.22vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.41vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.67-1.94vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+0.17vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.38-5.07vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.10-3.74vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.54-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Tufts University0.7810.1%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.5%1st Place
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5.27Salve Regina University0.4611.8%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University0.9611.2%1st Place
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8.69University of New Hampshire0.105.1%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.7%1st Place
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12.73Salve Regina University-1.011.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island0.687.4%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island1.2012.2%1st Place
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7.71Brown University0.496.5%1st Place
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7.78Salve Regina University0.977.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Vermont1.0611.0%1st Place
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13.41University of New Hampshire-1.091.6%1st Place
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12.06Bates College-0.671.8%1st Place
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15.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.691.0%1st Place
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10.93University of New Hampshire-0.382.6%1st Place
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13.26Bentley University-1.101.5%1st Place
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14.6University of New Hampshire-1.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 12.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Kolby Seibert | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 34.1% |
| Sean Lund | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.