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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+5.21vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+3.18vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+6.21vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.68+3.19vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.10+3.98vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.06-0.35vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97+0.91vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.96-2.08vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.49-1.31vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.20-5.82vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-1.01-0.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+1.07vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.84vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.67-4.15vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.10-3.77vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.54-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Tufts University0.789.6%1st Place
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5.18Salve Regina University0.4614.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island0.687.3%1st Place
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8.98University of New Hampshire0.104.3%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont1.0611.8%1st Place
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7.91Salve Regina University0.976.2%1st Place
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5.92Tufts University0.9610.4%1st Place
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7.69Brown University0.496.5%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.2012.8%1st Place
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11.04University of New Hampshire-0.381.6%1st Place
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12.78Salve Regina University-1.011.9%1st Place
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15.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.8%1st Place
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13.16University of New Hampshire-1.091.3%1st Place
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11.85Bates College-0.671.9%1st Place
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13.23Bentley University-1.100.8%1st Place
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14.58University of New Hampshire-1.540.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Johnson | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucian Sharpe | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Max Sigel | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 33.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.