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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.68vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73+0.10vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.12+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.08-0.25vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-0.02vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-0.40vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-2.68+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Christopher Newport University1.2128.4%1st Place
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3.58Penn State Behrend0.4116.1%1st Place
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3.1Virginia Tech0.7322.2%1st Place
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4.14William and Mary0.1211.9%1st Place
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4.75University of Maryland-0.089.2%1st Place
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5.98American University-0.914.0%1st Place
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6.6Catholic University of America-1.273.4%1st Place
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8.29Unknown School-2.680.4%1st Place
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5.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.834.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 28.4% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 16.1% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Young | 22.2% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Jared Cohen | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Anika Liner | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 21.9% | 5.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 31.6% | 14.1% |
| Dima Murtada | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 71.2% |
| Henry Powell | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.