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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.79vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.12+2.04vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08+0.72vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.41-1.25vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27+0.57vs Predicted
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7American University-0.91-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-2.15vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-2.68-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Christopher Newport University1.2126.2%1st Place
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4.04William and Mary0.1213.2%1st Place
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3.09Virginia Tech0.7322.8%1st Place
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4.72University of Maryland-0.088.8%1st Place
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3.75Penn State Behrend0.4116.8%1st Place
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6.57Catholic University of America-1.272.5%1st Place
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5.83American University-0.914.8%1st Place
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5.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.834.5%1st Place
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8.36Unknown School-2.680.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 26.2% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Young | 22.8% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jared Cohen | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Anthony Farrar | 16.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 31.9% | 12.6% |
| Anika Liner | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 6.5% |
| Henry Powell | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 5.9% |
| Dima Murtada | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.