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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+9.52vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+4.53vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+4.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+2.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+0.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65-1.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15-0.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68+0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-1.73vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.55-0.96vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.51-1.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.82-1.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47-4.60vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.29-5.18vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.72-4.09vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.71-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.38Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.59Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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12.62Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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10.82Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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12.89University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finneran | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.5% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 19.8% |
| William Livernois | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 21.3% |
| Justin Marks | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.