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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+4.22vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+4.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.55+4.73vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+4.38vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51+3.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15-0.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-2.98vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29+0.79vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.55-4.62vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82+0.49vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-0.04vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.71-1.04vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-6.60vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-9.35vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.22University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.73Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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12.49Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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12.96University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.51Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 19.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| William Livernois | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 22.6% |
| Justin Marks | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 23.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.