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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.69vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+1.02vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.41+0.58vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.12+0.01vs Predicted
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5American University-0.91+0.85vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27+0.39vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.68+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.39-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.08-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Christopher Newport University1.2127.1%1st Place
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3.02Virginia Tech0.7324.7%1st Place
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3.58Penn State Behrend0.4116.4%1st Place
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4.01William and Mary0.1212.0%1st Place
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5.85American University-0.913.9%1st Place
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6.39Catholic University of America-1.273.1%1st Place
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8.25Unknown School-2.681.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.392.6%1st Place
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4.58University of Maryland-0.089.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 27.1% | 24.6% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Young | 24.7% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 16.4% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Anika Liner | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 17.2% | 6.1% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 21.9% | 26.5% | 10.9% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 67.8% |
| John Carty | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 29.8% | 13.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.