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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.66vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.12+1.96vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.73+0.01vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.08-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.39+0.68vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend0.41-3.44vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.27-1.50vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-2.68-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Christopher Newport University1.2129.3%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary0.1213.0%1st Place
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3.01Virginia Tech0.7323.1%1st Place
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5.75American University-0.914.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Maryland-0.088.5%1st Place
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6.68University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.391.7%1st Place
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3.56Penn State Behrend0.4116.6%1st Place
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6.5Catholic University of America-1.272.8%1st Place
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8.21Unknown School-2.681.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 29.3% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 13.0% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Young | 23.1% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anika Liner | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 4.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| John Carty | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 30.8% | 13.6% |
| Anthony Farrar | 16.6% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 26.7% | 12.6% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.