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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.68+8.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+4.08vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+1.88vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47+4.99vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.15+1.83vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95-0.45vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29+0.78vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-4.24vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82+0.50vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.71-0.01vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.55-3.90vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.51-4.94vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.72-3.04vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.46Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.78Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.5Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.99University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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10.1Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Goodrich | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Mullins | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.8% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Livernois | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| OJ O'Connell | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| Justin Marks | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 23.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 22.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.