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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+3.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+3.22vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.15+3.69vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.11+2.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.97vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68+2.46vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55+1.69vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-2.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-2.76vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-5.23vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.71-1.03vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-3.93vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.82-3.49vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.72-4.15vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.47-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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12.97University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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11.07Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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12.51Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 18.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Bo McClatchy | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Justin Marks | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 23.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
| Reid Secondo | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 19.3% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 22.0% |
| William Livernois | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.