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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+1.69vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.12+0.68vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.12+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08+0.81vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27+1.70vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-1.08vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend0.41-4.24vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-2.68-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Christopher Newport University1.2128.1%1st Place
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2.68Virginia Tech1.1229.2%1st Place
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4.16William and Mary0.1211.5%1st Place
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4.81University of Maryland-0.088.2%1st Place
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6.7Catholic University of America-1.272.1%1st Place
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5.91American University-0.913.5%1st Place
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5.92University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.833.5%1st Place
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3.76Penn State Behrend0.4113.6%1st Place
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8.37Unknown School-2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 28.1% | 24.6% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 29.2% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jared Cohen | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 30.8% | 14.4% |
| Anika Liner | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 5.3% |
| Henry Powell | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 6.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 13.6% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Dima Murtada | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.