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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+1.95vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.75-0.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.17-1.22vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-2.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.02-2.45vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.67-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
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2.83Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.2%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.55Northeastern University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Drapcho | 24.5% | 23.4% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 25.0% | 24.0% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 15.7% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 15.0% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 43.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.