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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+1.58vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.51+0.78vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.56vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.25+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.01+0.66vs Predicted
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6American University-1.01-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-1.81vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.73-1.30vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.45-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Christopher Newport University0.7330.1%1st Place
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2.78William and Mary0.5127.2%1st Place
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4.56Penn State Behrend-0.459.4%1st Place
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4.01Virginia Tech-0.2512.7%1st Place
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5.66University of Maryland-1.015.4%1st Place
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5.67American University-1.015.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.526.3%1st Place
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6.7Unknown School-1.732.4%1st Place
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7.85Catholic University of America-2.451.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 30.1% | 26.1% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 27.2% | 23.4% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 12.7% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Eric Garvey | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Curtis | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 7.9% |
| Zachary Vance | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
| Luca Hokaj | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 27.4% | 19.4% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.