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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+7.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+6.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.34vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+2.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.48vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+0.78vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16+3.37vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-1.07vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-0.82vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23+0.31vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-0.95vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.30vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-6.51vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.32-0.59vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.64-6.44vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.48-2.93vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.49Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.37Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.93Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.31Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.7SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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14.41Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.56College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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14.07Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Graham Landy | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| William Haeger | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ian Paice | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 31.4% |
| Mac Mace | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 28.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.