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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.07vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.71vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+4.43vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+3.58vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+0.80vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.76vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-2.87vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16-0.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.32+1.24vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.39vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-1.10vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-5.26vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-6.72vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.23-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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9.58College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.76SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.48Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.82Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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14.24Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.9Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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11.07Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% |
| Ian Paice | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 32.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 24.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.