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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.51+1.84vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+0.57vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25+1.03vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend-0.45+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.01+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52-0.90vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-1.32vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.73-1.44vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.45-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84William and Mary0.5125.2%1st Place
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2.57Christopher Newport University0.7332.0%1st Place
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4.03Virginia Tech-0.2512.4%1st Place
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4.59Penn State Behrend-0.458.8%1st Place
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5.75University of Maryland-1.015.8%1st Place
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5.1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.526.9%1st Place
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5.68American University-1.014.4%1st Place
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6.56Unknown School-1.733.0%1st Place
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7.87Catholic University of America-2.451.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Whisner | 25.2% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 32.0% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Eric Garvey | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 9.2% |
| Zachary Vance | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Curtis | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 7.0% |
| Luca Hokaj | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 18.4% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.