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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+1.15vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.25+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+1.53vs Predicted
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4American University-1.01+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.01+0.14vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.45+1.48vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-0.45-3.05vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.61-1.02vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.73-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Christopher Newport University0.7341.4%1st Place
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3.48Virginia Tech-0.2516.9%1st Place
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4.53University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.529.2%1st Place
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5.06American University-1.017.6%1st Place
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5.14University of Maryland-1.016.5%1st Place
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7.48Catholic University of America-2.451.5%1st Place
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3.95Penn State Behrend-0.4511.4%1st Place
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6.98William and Mary-1.612.1%1st Place
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6.22Unknown School-1.733.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 41.4% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 16.9% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Vance | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Curtis | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Eric Garvey | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 44.6% |
| Bryce Nill | 11.4% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Levi Nathans | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 25.1% | 30.0% |
| Luca Hokaj | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.