← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.25+2.52vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.73+0.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+1.51vs Predicted
-
4American University-1.01+1.10vs Predicted
-
5Penn State Behrend-0.45-1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-1.01-0.87vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary-1.61-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Unknown School-1.73-1.85vs Predicted
-
9Catholic University of America-2.45-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.52Virginia Tech-0.2515.4%1st Place
-
2.16Christopher Newport University0.7340.9%1st Place
-
4.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.529.8%1st Place
-
5.1American University-1.016.8%1st Place
-
3.93Penn State Behrend-0.4512.7%1st Place
-
5.13University of Maryland-1.016.7%1st Place
-
6.97William and Mary-1.612.4%1st Place
-
6.15Unknown School-1.733.9%1st Place
-
7.53Catholic University of America-2.451.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 15.4% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 40.9% | 27.4% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Curtis | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Bryce Nill | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Eric Garvey | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Levi Nathans | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 25.1% | 28.7% |
| Luca Hokaj | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 13.2% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 20.8% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.