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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+1.45vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.51+0.73vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.25+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.52+0.81vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.45+2.67vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.01-0.46vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-0.45-2.52vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University-1.98-0.97vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.73-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Christopher Newport University0.7333.2%1st Place
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2.73William and Mary0.5126.2%1st Place
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3.79Virginia Tech-0.2513.7%1st Place
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4.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.527.1%1st Place
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7.67Catholic University of America-2.451.7%1st Place
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5.54University of Maryland-1.015.1%1st Place
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4.48Penn State Behrend-0.458.5%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University-1.982.0%1st Place
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6.5Unknown School-1.732.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 33.2% | 25.9% | 19.5% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 26.2% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 13.7% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Vance | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Grogan | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 21.3% | 47.8% |
| Eric Garvey | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 5.8% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 26.7% | 27.1% |
| Luca Hokaj | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 22.9% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.