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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+3.43vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+2.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-0.04vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+4.20vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.78vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.08vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+1.77vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-3.92vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.63-3.61vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-4.37vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.64-6.45vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.32-2.44vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.47Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.2Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.78SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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11.77Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.63Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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14.56Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.81Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Raul Rios | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Graham Landy | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| William Haeger | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Mac Mace | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Ian Paice | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 34.3% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 18.4% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.