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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+2.55vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+3.12vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+1.47vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.44+1.21vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.19-1.05vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.31+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.82+1.26vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.89vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-3.55vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.57-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Princeton University0.2721.0%1st Place
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5.12Princeton University-0.3210.2%1st Place
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4.47Columbia University-0.1314.4%1st Place
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5.21Monmouth University-0.449.3%1st Place
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3.95Washington College0.1917.3%1st Place
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7.28Villanova University-1.314.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Delaware-1.821.8%1st Place
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6.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.2%1st Place
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5.45Rochester Institute of Technology-0.487.5%1st Place
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5.61Princeton University-0.578.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 21.0% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Chase O'Malley | 14.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 23.6% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 46.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| Ashley Franklin | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| William Roberts | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.