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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.19+3.01vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+1.52vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+2.24vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13+0.55vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.05vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.31+1.14vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.44-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.82+0.13vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-3.54vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.57-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Washington College0.1916.9%1st Place
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3.52Princeton University0.2720.9%1st Place
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5.24Princeton University-0.329.8%1st Place
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4.55Columbia University-0.1312.6%1st Place
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6.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.3%1st Place
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7.14Villanova University-1.314.2%1st Place
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5.22Monmouth University-0.449.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Delaware-1.822.6%1st Place
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5.46Rochester Institute of Technology-0.489.2%1st Place
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5.67Princeton University-0.577.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Bonacci | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jasper Waldman | 20.9% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 9.2% |
| Julia Priebke | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 22.7% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 43.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| William Roberts | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.