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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.19+2.88vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.27+1.54vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+2.13vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.13+0.59vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.44+0.28vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.15vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-1.31+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.82+0.15vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-3.60vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.57-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Washington College0.1918.1%1st Place
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3.54Princeton University0.2720.6%1st Place
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5.13Princeton University-0.3210.2%1st Place
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4.59Columbia University-0.1312.4%1st Place
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5.28Monmouth University-0.449.6%1st Place
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6.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.605.9%1st Place
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7.24Villanova University-1.314.2%1st Place
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8.15University of Delaware-1.821.8%1st Place
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5.4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.489.3%1st Place
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5.62Princeton University-0.577.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Bonacci | 18.1% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jasper Waldman | 20.6% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 8.8% |
| Julia Priebke | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 24.2% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 43.5% |
| Ashley Franklin | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| William Roberts | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.