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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.16+10.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.07vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+5.09vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.48+9.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+2.68vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+2.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+3.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.55vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.13vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-3.28vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-2.15vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-5.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.32+0.17vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University4.71-10.56vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-9.03vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.64Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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6.07Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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13.72Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.16Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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12.13SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.85College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.85Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.17Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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5.44Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.49Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gram Slattery | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| Graham Landy | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 26.3% |
| William Haeger | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% |
| Raul Rios | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian Paice | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 30.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.