Race 4A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jasper Waldman 21.1% 17.2% 16.4% 14.2% 11.7% 7.7% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
William Roberts 6.6% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 10.5% 12.3% 12.0% 12.9% 12.2% 5.3%
Joseph Bonacci 17.9% 17.2% 13.1% 13.3% 11.9% 10.2% 8.3% 4.2% 3.4% 0.7%
Patrick Cashin 8.8% 10.8% 10.6% 10.0% 10.9% 11.9% 12.6% 11.5% 8.5% 4.5%
Chase O'Malley 12.8% 12.6% 12.7% 13.0% 11.5% 13.4% 9.0% 7.9% 5.5% 1.7%
Ashley Franklin 8.9% 9.2% 9.3% 10.2% 10.3% 11.1% 12.6% 12.3% 10.2% 5.8%
Carly Mraz 11.2% 9.7% 10.9% 11.5% 11.8% 11.1% 11.7% 11.5% 7.1% 3.6%
Rose von Eckartsberg 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 8.6% 10.2% 9.2% 12.0% 13.5% 14.2% 8.8%
Julia Priebke 3.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 7.6% 9.2% 13.7% 20.9% 23.4%
Tamryn Whyte 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 5.5% 7.0% 9.1% 16.2% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.