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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+2.56vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.57+3.71vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+1.54vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.32+1.11vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.19-1.00vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.44-0.78vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-1.52vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.98vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-1.31-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.82-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Princeton University0.2720.3%1st Place
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5.71Princeton University-0.577.0%1st Place
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4.54Columbia University-0.1313.7%1st Place
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5.11Princeton University-0.3210.1%1st Place
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4.0Washington College0.1916.4%1st Place
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5.22Monmouth University-0.4410.6%1st Place
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5.48Rochester Institute of Technology-0.488.6%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.0%1st Place
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7.15Villanova University-1.313.9%1st Place
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8.2University of Delaware-1.822.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 20.3% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Roberts | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Chase O'Malley | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 9.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 23.4% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.